HS2 Myths
Myth 1: HS2 is green
Myth 2: HS2 will deliver regional benefits
Myth 3: HS2 is a sound investment returning over £2 for every £1 spent
- It overestimates the value of time savings.
- It assumes 133% background growth in demand. This is a huge increase in demand, and is double that of other reputable forecasts.
- It also assumes an additional 133% increase in demand due to HS2 itself. This is much more than the West Coast Main Line upgrade, which delivered a bigger service improvement.
- It ignores competition from conventional rail. Failure to realistically assess the competition was a mistake made by HS1 and the Channel Tunnel.
- It ignores the impact of new technologies, which are reducing demand for travel.
Myth 4: Only HS2 can solve our capacity issues
- The DfT’s own alternative, Rail Package 2, delivers all the capacity requirements.
- Rail Package 2 is designed to meet demand incrementally, has a superior rate of return, and costs just £2bn. Clearly better value for us all.
Myth 5: HS2 will greatly reduce domestic air travel
- HS2 argues for a modal shift, based on unrealistic demand for domestic air travel. It assumes an increase of 178% by 2033, whilst today the domestic air travel market is in decline.
Myth 6: The UK lacks fast connectivity between our cities
- Journey times between our major cities are faster than our European competitors. We already have an extensive fast rail network.


